39 Tech Dashboards
| Ticker▾ | Company▾ | Category▾ | Rating▾ | Price…▾ | 12-mo PT▾ | Δ vs PT▾ | As of▾ | Next Release▾ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | Apple Inc. | Edge & On-Device AI | $317 | $330 | +4.1% | Aug 2026 | ||
| AMZN | Amazon.com, Inc. | Hyperscalers | $272 | $310 | +14.0% | Aug 2026 | ||
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc. | Hyperscalers | $362 | $420 | +16.0% | Aug 2026 | ||
| MSFT | Microsoft Corporation | Hyperscalers | $500 | $560 | +12.0% | Aug 2026 | ||
| CRDO | Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd | Neoclouds & Connectivity | $251 | $280 | +11.6% | Jun 2026 | ||
| CRWV | CoreWeave, Inc. | Neoclouds & Connectivity | $94 | $125 | +33.0% | Jun 2026 | ||
| GEV | GE Vernova Inc. | Power, Grid & AI Servers | $988 | $1,080 | +9.3% | Aug 2026 | ||
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer, Inc. | Power, Grid & AI Servers | $26 | $34 | +30.8% | Jul 2026 | ||
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Silicon & Foundries | $365 | $461 | +26.3% | Jun 2026 | ||
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Silicon & Foundries | $219 | $250 | +14.2% | Aug 2026 | ||
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) | Silicon & Foundries | $423 | $490 | +15.8% | Aug 2026 | ||
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | Silicon & Foundries | $483 | $560 | +15.9% | Aug 2026 | ||
| ASML | ASML Holding N.V. | Silicon & Foundries | $1,741 | $1,740 | -0.1% | Aug 2026 | ||
| BESI | BE Semiconductor Industries N.V. | Silicon & Foundries | €221 | €250 | — | Aug 2026 | ||
| CBRS | Cerebras Systems, Inc. | Silicon & Foundries | $188 | $185 | -1.6% | Jul 2026 | ||
| INTC | Intel Corporation | Silicon & Foundries | $102 | $110 | +7.8% | Aug 2026 | ||
| MRVL | Marvell Technology, Inc. | Silicon & Foundries | $267 | $255 | -4.5% | Jun 2026 | ||
| MTSI | MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. | Silicon & Foundries | $311 | $360 | +15.8% | Aug 2026 | ||
| SMTC | Semtech Corporation | Silicon & Foundries | $138 | $150 | +8.7% | Jul 2026 | ||
| CRWD | CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. | Endpoint Security | $195 | $205 | +5.1% | Jul 2026 | ||
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | Network Security | $300 | $300 | +0.0% | Aug 2026 | ||
| PANW | Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | Network Security | $384 | $365 | -4.9% | Aug 2026 | ||
| ZS | Zscaler, Inc. | Network Security | $147 | $160 | +8.8% | Jul 2026 | ||
| 000660 | SK hynix Inc. | Memory & Storage | ₩1.42M | ₩2.1M | — | Aug 2026 | ||
| MU | Micron Technology | Memory & Storage | $967 | $1,400 | +44.8% | Aug 2026 | ||
| 005930 | Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. | Memory & Storage | ₩231,000 | ₩283,000 | — | Aug 2026 | ||
| CMXT | ChangXin Memory Technologies | Memory & Storage | ¥49 | ¥45 | — | Jul 2026 | ||
| SNDK | Sandisk Corporation | Memory & Storage | $1,212 | $1,350 | +11.4% | Aug 2026 | ||
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | AI Platforms | $172 | $175 | +1.7% | Aug 2026 | ||
| AI | C3.ai, Inc. | Enterprise AI Apps | $9 | $9 | +0.0% | Jul 2026 | ||
| NTNX | Nutanix, Inc. | Infrastructure Software | $54 | $58 | +7.4% | Jul 2026 | ||
| NOW | ServiceNow, Inc. | Systems-of-Record | $125 | $135 | +8.0% | Aug 2026 | ||
| ORCL | Oracle Corporation | Systems-of-Record | $143 | $190 | +32.9% | Aug 2026 | ||
| IONQ | IonQ, Inc. | Quantum Computing | $43 | $40 | -7.0% | Aug 2026 | ||
| QBTS | D-Wave Quantum Inc. | Quantum Computing | $21 | $15 | -28.6% | Aug 2026 | ||
| RGTI | Rigetti Computing, Inc. | Quantum Computing | $17 | $13 | -23.5% | Aug 2026 | ||
| MBLY | Mobileye Global Inc. | Robotics & Physical AI | $9 | $10 | +11.1% | Aug 2026 | ||
| TSLA | Tesla, Inc. | Robotics & Physical AI | $320 | $370 | +15.6% | Aug 2026 | ||
| SPCX | Space Exploration Technologies Corp. | Space & Launch | $133 | $135 | +1.5% | Aug 2026 |
Thesis Graph: How It Connects
The Library: Five Expressions of One Trade
AI Infrastructure & Compute
Hyperscaler capex: 2025 → 2026E (US$ bn)
The read
Silicon & Foundries
AI custom-silicon franchise (Google, Meta, Anthropic, OpenAI XPUs) + VMware annuity. FY27 AI guided >$100B. SOTP $461 PT.
The premier AI custom-silicon + optical franchise. Forward EV/Sales scenarios. Hold $255. A great franchise, but fairly-to-fully valued after a +231% YTD run; head-to-head analysis vs AVGO.
A differentiated analog/RF + optical franchise with a real AI-optical tailwind (Data-Center growth raised to ~74%). Forward EV/Sales scenarios. Hold $360 at ~40x fwd EPS, still below the Street’s ~$396.
Best-in-class power-efficient AI-connectivity ramp (CopperEdge active-copper cables, 1.6T toward 3.2T, a hyperscaler design win, data center +58% in FY26 and guided >50% in FY27), but the multiple already prices near-flawless execution. Hold, base PT $150: balanced risk/reward at ~$138 after a +157% 52-week run.
The capstone of AI compute. Operating story accelerating, multiple decelerating in opposite directions. EV/Sales scenarios. Buy $250. NTM P/E at 11th %ile of 10-yr range while FY28 consensus migrated $290B → $485B.
The wafer-scale bet on inference speed. Fastest silicon for memory-bound inference (>2,200 tok/s on Llama 70B), a $24.6B OpenAI-anchored backlog, and FY25 revenue of $510M (+76%). The catch: ~86% of 2025 revenue from two UAE-linked related parties, gross margin guided down to 36-38%, a ~$55B cap at ~104x sales, and NVIDIA’s CUDA moat. EV/Sales scenarios. Hold, $185 fair value (Bull $300 / Bear $110), below the ~$292 Street average.
A toll on the AI build-out: ~90% of leading-edge and ~99% of frontier-AI silicon, at record 68% gross / 56% net margins. Buy $490 (DCF + reverse DCF). The honest catch: the DCF says ~fairly valued (~$425), so this is a quality-and-cycle Buy, not deep value; the Taiwan tail + a pending ITC ruling + ~44%-of-revenue capex are the bear.
The credible #2 in AI accelerators, now fully re-rated. SOTP by segment. Hold $560 after a ~126% YTD run. The OpenAI + Meta 6GW Instinct deals and record ~46% EPYC server share are real, but ~65x FY26 earnings and ~40x forward Data-Center EBITDA price the MI450/Helios ramp in; ~20% warrant dilution + NVDA dominance are the checks.
The EUV lithography monopoly. SOTP by value pool. Hold $1,740. The sole EUV/High-NA supplier, with a recurring service annuity and a EUR 44-60B 2030 runway, but at ~44x forward earnings we see it fairly valued at $1,740, with the Street (~$2,100) more bullish; a China DUV-servicing ban the swing risk and a conservative DCF nearer $1,000.
Hold €250: the precision leader in hybrid-bonding equipment, the only viable path to sub-10µm 3D interconnect, and a genuine AI advanced-packaging chokepoint (Applied Materials co-develops the Kinex bonder and holds ~9%). After a pullback to ~€221 the multiple has compressed to ~40x forward earnings; we trim to €250 (from €280) on a more conservative multiple as the HBM catalyst slips to 2027+ and the near-term ramp stays logic-led (TSMC SoIC). Our €250 sits ~10% below the Street median.
Turnaround, still unproven. After a ~2.8x 2026 run to ~$102 on foundry catalysts (Google >3M-TPU order, Apple/Nvidia 18A/14A, 18A-P on track) plus a big Q2 revenue beat, Hold $110 (trimmed from $135). The $110 SOTP base implies only ~8% upside and sits in line with the Street (~$115); we value Foundry at a TSM-like ~10.3x EV/Sales, not a scarcity premium, while its ~$2.1B/qtr losses and unproven external volume keep us neutral. Foundry ~55% of EV; a fairly-valued, two-sided Hold, not conviction.
Neoclouds & Connectivity
NVIDIA-preferred neocloud. $99.4B backlog (8x FY26 rev, 98% take-or-pay), 11.5% NVIDIA stake + $6.3B capacity backstop, first-to-GA every NVIDIA generation. EV/Sales scenarios. Buy $125. Cheapest neocloud despite largest backlog, but $24.9B debt / 640% D/E warrants smaller sizing.
AI back-end interconnect pure-play. EV/Sales scenarios. Buy $280. FY26 revenue +206% YoY to $1.335B, FY27 mgmt commentary >80% growth on optical DSP + AEC ramp.
Hyperscalers
Search + YouTube + Google Cloud + AI; the Gemini/TPU AI hyperscaler with DOJ Search remedies as the binary risk
A sum-of-the-parts where AWS is ~58% of value on ~21% of revenue. Buy $310. AWS reaccelerating (+37%) + a high-margin advertising annuity + a market-multiple retail base, less net debt; the swing risk is the free-cash-flow drought under ~$220B AI capex.
The Azure AI compounder; OpenAI exclusivity + Copilot enterprise attach driving cloud + software growth
Power, Grid & AI Servers
The arms-dealer of the AI power supercycle: gas turbines (100GW backlog, large-frame slots sold out into 2028) + grid electrification + nuclear/SMR. Record $176B backlog, FCF inflecting to $11.5–12.5B. Forward EV/EBITDA scenarios. Hold $1,080. Best-in-class franchise, but ~43x forward EBITDA already prices much of the supercycle; accumulate on pullbacks.
Public-market purest AI-server bet, repriced. EV/Sales scenarios. Hold $34. Revenue scaled to ~$40B but margins swung to a 6.3% trough, ~$7.5B net debt, and a Taiwan chip-smuggling probe cap the multiple.
Edge & On-Device AI
The best consumer franchise in tech, fully valued. Record Q3 FY26 ($109.4B rev +16%, EPS $2.02) and a re-rate on the ~$1B/yr Google Gemini–Siri deal, but guided Q4 to a soft +9–11% at ~34x FY27E. Hold $330 (~consensus): a ~2.5B-device installed base + $109B Services annuity (~75% GM) + ~$137B FCF + $100B buyback, against a two-sided setup, the ~$20B Google-TAC appeal and China/Huawei share. Own to compound; no margin of safety at the multiple.
On the radar: AMAT, NBIS, IREN, APLD, WULF, CIFR, HUT, BITF, META, VRT, ETN, PWR, CEG, VST, SMR, CSCO, ANET, DELL, HPE, QCOM.
Cybersecurity
Security platform scale: ARR (US$ bn)
The read
Franchise firing, multiple math-constrained. EV/Sales scenarios. Hold $205 (post 4:1 split). Q1 FY27 ARR $5.51B +24%, record FCF, but ~39x sales and ~150x forward earnings at all-time highs cap the upside.
Platformization tipping point + CyberArk identity flank + Cortex AgentiX agentic SOC. EV/Sales scenarios. Hold $365 after a +117% YTD run through the old $310 target. ~1,550 platformized customers, NGS ARR $8.1B (+60% reported / +28% organic); ~22x FY27E EV/Sales now full, upside is the Cortex AgentiX optionality.
The SSE / zero-trust leader, ~56% off its high after a 16-17% FY27 preview and a sales-leadership exodus. Hold $160. Still compounds ARR at 25% ($3.53B) with ~27% FCF margins and ~$1.7B net cash, but organic net-new ARR is only +14%, Red Canary props the headline, and Palo Alto/Microsoft bundling caps the pure-play premium at ~6.9x EV/Sales.
The programmable edge (CDN + security + Cloudflare One SASE + Workers/Workers AI), priced for perfection. Hold $300. Elite quality (Q2 revenue +36%, DBNRR 120%, RPO +35%, FCF inflecting) but ~28x forward sales with the Street (~$250) now below spot. The 20% agentic-AI-first restructuring is a margin tailwind and an execution risk. A great company at a full price.
On the radar: S.
Memory Super-Cycle
HBM market share (2025)
The read
Record HBM / AI-memory super-cycle: Q3 FY26 printed $41.5B revenue at ~85% gross margin with ~$100B of contracted backlog (RPO) across 16 strategic-customer agreements, Q4 guided to a record ~$50B. Buy $1,400 (~10x FY27E EPS); ~23% off the June high at ~$967, the discount holds. A deeply cyclical name owned through the peak.
Top global HBM maker and #2 DRAM, the primary NVIDIA supplier leading HBM4 into Rubin. Record Q2 2026 (₩79.3T revenue +257% YoY, ₩60.5T operating profit, ~76% margin), yet the stock de-rated ~52% from its ₩2.99M ATH on cycle-peak fears. Buy ₩2.1M (+48%): anchor fair value on the record fundamentals, not the crashed price, a buy-the-dip still well below the ~₩3.2M Strong-Buy Street; the ₩900k bear is the cycle-top caveat.
Hold ¥45 (fade the pop): China’s only at-scale DRAM maker and the linchpin of its memory self-sufficiency drive. IPO’d on the STAR Market Jul 27 2026 at ¥8.66 and closed up ~466% at ~¥3.28T (~$484B), the most valuable A-share. A real supercycle (Q1 2026 net profit ~¥33bn, reversing a decade of losses) but priced at a mid-teens price-to-book scarcity premium (peers ~2-3x) on peak-cycle earnings, with HBM at trial stage and an export-control ceiling. We sit well below Nomura’s ¥116 initiation. Framework, not a formal call.
The world #1 memory maker but the HBM laggard, valued sum-of-the-parts. Record Q2 2026 (₩171T revenue +129%, ₩89.5T operating profit +1,814%, memory operating profit topped Nvidia) yet the stock sold ~25% below our SOTP base on cycle-peak fears. Hold ₩283,000 (SOTP base, now ~22% above the de-rated spot); two-sided cycle risk against a Strong-Buy Street (~₩472k).
NAND pure-play riding a record memory supercycle: Q4 FY26 revenue $8.97B (+372% YoY, +51% QoQ), 84.6% gross margin, EPS $39.25, $42B backlog. Hold $1,350 (trimmed from $1,750 for coherence after a ~48% pullback from the high); the Q1 FY27 guide is up sequentially (rev ~$10.5B) but below lofty consensus, and the name is near a cyclical peak after a ~2,300% run off the WDC spin.
On the radar: WDC, PSTG, STX.
Agentic Software
Upside to 12-mo price target (%)
The read
Cleanest public VMware-displacement bet. EV/Sales scenarios. Hold $58 after a sharp de-rating. Q3 FY26 ARR $2.43B +15% and ~$770M FCF, but revenue growth has decelerated toward 10%.
Enterprise-AI pure-play, repriced. EV/Sales scenarios. Hold $9 (downgraded from Sell) after FY26 revenue fell 36%; a ~$575M cash cushion and a Siebel-led restructuring set a floor under a still-shrinking business.
The best business in software, now fully priced after a blowout Q2. SaaS DCF + dominant reverse-DCF. Hold $175. A ~155% Rule of 40 and 63% FCF margin, but ~40x forward sales leaves no margin of safety.
A quality SaaS compounder, de-rated then recovering. Buy $135. 24%+ subscription growth, cRPO $13.2B (+21%), 98% renewals and Now Assist AI ACV past $1B, at ~30x forward earnings. The reverse DCF now implies ~3% terminal growth; the risks are the seat-to-consumption transition and US-federal demand.
Hyperscale AI-infra pivot meets capex + leverage skepticism. EV/Sales scenarios. Buy $190. $638B RPO and $300B OpenAI deal vs $70B FY27E capex, $122B long-term debt, and customer concentration.
On the radar: DDOG.
Frontier · Quantum & Physical AI
Base fair value vs market price (US$)
The read
Quantum Computing
The only dual-platform quantum pure-play: commercial annealing + in-house gate-model (Quantum Circuits, acquired Jan 2026). One EV/Sales model, three scenarios: bull $40 / base $15 / bear $7.
Pre-profit quantum pure-play. One EV/Sales model, three scenarios: bull $70 / base $40 / bear $22.
Public-market superconducting quantum pure-play; the IONQ counterweight: much smaller revenue base, higher dilution risk, IBM/Google as the existential threat
Robotics & Physical AI
Operational stall meets the Intel cap, repriced. Hold $10 (~15% to spot). Q2 2026 revenue was roughly flat with an adjusted-EPS beat flattered by a one-time R&D tax credit, and CEO Amnon Shashua has announced his departure; a $3.8B non-cash goodwill impairment and Intel ~96.9% voting control cap the re-rate at ~3x EV/Sales.
Auto cash-cow base carrying enormous, now-converting but still richly priced robotics/AI optionality. SOTP by business. Hold $420. At ~$1.5T roughly three-quarters of the cap is robotaxi + Optimus optionality (unsupervised robotaxi now live in three metros), and at ~188x the stock de-rated ~11% in 2026 to roughly fair value even as Q1 re-accelerated; a very wide bull ($650) / bear ($210) gap.
Space & Launch
The first mega-cap space name (Jun 2026 IPO, largest ever): a Starlink profit engine plus a ~50%-by-count / >80%-by-mass launch near-monopoly, bolted to a cash-torching xAI unit at ~112x sales. After the IPO the stock round-tripped to ~$133, just below its $135 offer and roughly fair value; own the franchise, but the asymmetric bear keeps it a Hold $135.
On the radar: QUBT, SYM.
Five Expressions, One Trade
Follow the capital
The single fact that organizes 2026 tech investing is the hyperscalers’ ~$725B build-out (+77% YoY). The five sectors are stations along the chain that capital travels: silicon (TSM, ASML, NVDA: the toll-roads we’d own), the neoclouds and the power feeding them, the software layer that turns it into recurring dollars, the two security platforms that survived consolidation, and memory, where the most violent leverage sits as AI crowds out commodity supply.
The barbell
The bottleneck keeps migrating (chips, then memory, then electricity), and the live question under every name is who actually earns a return on that $725B. The ratings answer it as a barbell: Buys on the chokepoints, where the toll is collected no matter who wins; Holds on the re-rated challengers, where the multiple already prices the win; the library’s lone Sell, where the story outruns the cash; and the frontier quantum and robotics names as call options on survivorship, outside the chain entirely.
Route through, not past
Across all five sectors the test is the same: does the build have to route through this name, or merely past it? TSM’s leading edge, ASML’s EUV, the HBM duopoly, the two scaled security franchises, the systems-of-record with data gravity all sit in the path. The substitutable middles (commodity DRAM, point-product cyber, thin seat-SaaS, C3.ai’s squeezed shell) sit beside it, and are where the cycle turns first.
One trade, five masks
Spread across five sectors, this still prices a single bet: that end-demand earns a return on $725B before the depreciation clock and the circular NVIDIA-to-OpenAI loops come due. An ROI air-pocket doesn’t rotate between the five; it hits all of them at once. So sizing is the whole game: own the cyclical compute and memory beta lighter and through the peak, knowing it breaks hardest, and lean on cyber and software’s recurring dollars to cushion the fall.
How It Gets Built
Every dashboard in this library runs the same pipeline, from what earns coverage to what gets disclosed. Six steps, in order.
Coverage Philosophy
Eight categories that mirror the most contested corners of tech: AI compute and memory, hyperscalers, quantum, security, robotics and physical AI, networking and server hardware.
Valuation Framework
Each company gets the framework its stage and earnings quality warrant. Every name carries Bull, Base, and Bear targets with probability weights, blended into one fair value.
Data Sources
A live quote feed sits over curated per-dashboard figures, each stamped with an asOf date and reviewed quarterly after earnings.
AI Workflow
AI is a force-multiplier on the inputs, not the verdict. The rating, price target, and scenario probabilities stay author judgment.
Update Cadence
A colored Data as of badge rides every dashboard and hub card. Live values refresh on each page load.
Disclaimers
An independent research sample, built to be inspected. Not investment advice.
About this work
The dashboards and downloadable Excel models in this library are an independent research sample for demonstration. They are not investment advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The models are illustrative teaching workbooks: their assumptions are explicit and meant to be changed. Figures were compiled from public filings and data providers and will drift. Refresh before relying on anything here. Spreadsheets download rather than preview; open them in Excel, Google Sheets, or Numbers.